Top 10 Trends to Impact Construction Industry in Next Decade
Erica Floyd
As jobsites become more connected, contractors
and construction companies gather thousands of data points for later use. These
data points could be monetized and shared with others outside the industry for
even greater good and connectivity, according to the the Association of
Equipment Manufacturers (AEM). From weather mapping with cloud-based systems to
wearables detecting when people take falls, the bright future of construction
site technology that AEM details in its
latest whitepaper suggests more than just contractors and operators can benefit
from data collection and interconnectivity.
AEM presented
10 top trends for the future of building construction on Thursday, September 8,
among them alternative power, the electrification of compact equipment, autonomous
machinery and sensors for increased safety. Hosted by Brooke Konopacki, AEM senior director of community insights, and Ray
Gallant, Volvo vice president of product management and productivity
region, the webinar presentation of these top trends delineated a recent
whitepaper the association published, an in-depth analysis of the leading
influences that could dramatically impact the construction industry over the
next decade.
The top 10 trends include:
1.
Increased Regulation of
Carbon-based Fuels Spurs Adoption of Alternative Power Solutions
Referencing recent aviation fuel regulations
plans, the California Air Resources Board’s (CARB) ban on small engines on
new equipment starting in 2024, the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) new
greenhouse gas emissions rules for 2023-2026 passenger vehicles and light-duty
trucks and the EPA’s plan to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from heavy-duty
trucks starting with 2027 models, the AEM whitepaper
asserts that construction companies will see their fleets change over the next
decade, as well.
“A significant level of investment into the
development of a wide swath of alternative power solutions is well underway.
Long-term, it isn’t practical to pursue all of the options being explored due
to the needed infrastructure surrounding each power source,” the AEM analysis states. “Once solutions are vetted, the
construction industry can expect more than one to be leveraged in their fleet
based on the varying power and performance needs of each piece of equipment.
Over the next 10 years, a rationalization of a few select power solutions to
reduce carbon emissions will take place that infrastructure can then be built
around.”
Whether these alternative power solutions will
be hydroelectric, biofuels or otherwise is not clear yet, but the current focus
for construction equipment is on electrification, Gallant said, due to the
availability of charging stations.
2. Renewable Energy
Production Booms
“The Center for Climate and Energy Solutions
states that renewable energy is the fastest-growing energy source in the U.S.,
increasing 42% from 2010-2020,” AEM writes.
“Furthermore, U.S. Energy Information Administration data shows that renewables
now account for roughly 12% of U.S. energy consumption.”
Major corporations continue to invest in
renewable energy like biofuels, solar and wind power, as construction companies
and large contractors commit to net-zero impact pledges for new buildings and
infrastructure.
“Construction companies will be critical in the
nationwide energy transformation,” the AEM whitepaper
says. “Beyond taking steps to lower their own GHG emissions, construction
companies will build the vital infrastructure necessary to help renewable
energies claim a significantly larger share of total energy consumption over
the next 10 years.”
3. Compact Equipment Trends
Electric
“Gas-powered leaf blower bans in parts of
California and other municipalities around the country can be viewed as a
precursor to what will ultimately happen in construction,” reads the AEM analysis. “Regulations that greatly limit or ban
the use of gasoline engine-powered equipment, as recently seen in California
with small engines used in landscaping equipment, will also accelerate the
trend toward electrification.”
The push toward electrification of skid steers,
compact excavators and compact loaders already has been seen and
well-documented. The United States’ commitment to cutting carbon emissions by
50% by 2030 will spur “the electrification of many segments of the compact
construction equipment market” over the next 10 years, according to AEM.
4. Connectivity Leads to
Jobsite Transformation
Simply put, due to more advanced 5G networks
and cloud systems, connectivity on the jobsite will improve significantly in
the next decade, according to AEM’s data
and projections. Better equipment tracking will allow real-time visibility into
productivity and maintenance on a jobsite, so operators and contractors can
make sure they queue properly and have the most efficient job flow they can,
Gallant said.
5. Pathway Toward Autonomous
Machinery
From long-adopted technologies like automatic
grade control to newer ones like robotic rebar tying, autonomous machinery is
on the rise to help eliminate repetitive, laborious, and often-dangerous tasks.
“So, we can have autonomous machines that are
simply operator assist, or you can go all the way to a fully autonomous, no
operator, no intervention machine,” Gallant said. “So, we’re not saying that in
the next 10 years everything is going to be fully autonomous and have no
operators. But we are thinking that the smarter the devices become, the more we
can assist the operators to be more efficient, to be more productive, to be
more fuel efficient, more energy efficient, and therefore have less carbon
impact, as well.”
The implications for autonomous machinery as
aids in a construction labor shortage are important, Gallant emphasized.
Autonomous machinery changes the nature of operational machines, requiring a
different skillset from operators but, most likely, fewer people needed on the
jobsite.
6. Sensors Improve
Efficiency and Safety
Sensors on the jobsite, from safety backup
sensors for skid steers to wearables that help detect worker falls, will
proliferate in the next decade, according to AEM.
“It starts with understanding what’s going on
on the site and that’s where sensors really came into it. There already are a
number of internet-connected devices—sensors on the machines that are feeding
information all the time,” Gallant said. “Our problem has not been getting the
information. It’s been how we use it, how to consolidate it and how we use it
smartly. And that’s, I think, the next big frontier here…We get better and
better at controlling the sites and helping the operators be better, more efficient,
more sustainable operators.”
7. Fewer Workers, Different
Skillsets
The future of construction labor is the hottest
topic in construction news right now, particularly as the U.S. economy weathers
the ups and downs of a pandemic, supply chain challenges, record inflation and
low unemployment.
“During a 2021 CONEXPO-CON/AGG Tech Talk, a
road construction contractor said technology will help the industry replace the
large numbers of experienced workers who are beginning to retire,” the AEM whitepaper states:
“’We need to find a way to attract young
workers if we are going to keep this industry stable,’ said Rod Stephens, president
of All Roads Construction in British Columbia. ‘Instead of putting a shovel in
their hands, we put a joystick in their hands.’”
Gallant agreed. Generation Z, people born after
the mid-1990s, are already quite familiar with the type of work that can be
achieved electronically and remotely, Gallant asserted.
“They’re not that much interested in getting
into a machine and operating on a site 100 miles away from home, but they do
like the idea of getting into a simulator and operating a machine 100 miles
away, doing that job that way,” Gallant said. “We’re going to need these new
technologies to finish the work that needs to be done even with fewer workers.”
8. Business Models Shift
Toward Subscriptions
High-tech equipment like autonomous machinery
can be expensive, and that is where rental and shared equipment schemes will
come into play in the next decade, according to AEM. Equipment
as a Service (EaaS) will give contractors and construction companies the option
to lease equipment for a designated period of time, allowing users to “gain
access to the newest, most technologically advanced equipment without having to
outlay large sums of money to own it,” the AEM whitepaper
states.
Presumably, the users also would not have to
maintain the equipment beyond normal daily troubleshooting on the jobsite,
freeing up fleet management time and budgets. Each contractor and construction
company will need to make leasing, rental or ownership decisions based on what
best fits their businesses, both the AEM whitepaper
and Gallant emphasized.
9. Construction Data Will
Reveal Its Value
While construction sites currently can collect
thousands of data points, both AEM and
Gallant emphasized that making this data usable to others is the primary trend
forecasted for the next decade.
“You could have, you know, 50,000 [data]
points, gathering weather data, and very easily convert that to a very accurate
weather map, rather than having conventional weather-gathering stations that
are only every 50 miles or every 100 miles,” Gallant said.
The future of monetizing data on construction
sites for those outside the industry is ripe, Konopacki agreed. “It doesn’t
have to be data that is necessarily used within the business, and, so, that can
be sold and leveraged in potentially very surprising and new ways that we
haven’t creatively been able to [before],” Konopacki said. “I think that’s the
exciting part of this one.”
10. Cybersecurity Becomes
Central to Corporate Strategy
Connected equipment and Building Information
Modeling (BIM) software programs are often vulnerable to cyberattacks,
according to AEM. The more connected
jobsites become, Gallant said, the more they automate. Two-way flows of data
will increase.
So, the more you open up the [system], the more
vulnerable it is,” Gallant said. “The federal government is on this—they’ve
invested $1 billion of the $1.2 trillion infrastructure bill specifically on
cybersecurity…It’s an important thing that the federal government realizes all
companies deal with this.”
Even a residential house or apartment building
has thousands of internet-entry points, Gallant said, pointing out increased
use of connected refrigerators, televisions, and even trash cans in the modern,
connected smart home.
“Cybersecurity, it’s unfortunately the dark
side of this, but it’s something that we have to be very aware of and keep pace
on protecting these systems, so that we can take advantage of them and can use
them freely as they develop,” Gallant said.